Brett Martin Comment: Q3 2023
The third quarter of 2023 has continued in the same theme set by the first two quarters of the year, with the typically busy months quiet and the reverse for typical holiday months. July and August were busier than we expected but we saw a falloff in September which has continued into Q4.
Recent NHBC data highlighting a 57% drop in Q3 private registrations is worrying and recent announcements from the Bank of England indicate that interest rates will be held high for a longer period than planned to break inflation. Brett Martin products are typically used early in the build cycle and we are now seeing both the Tier 2 and Tier 3 house builders slowing down new site openings faster than expected.
The prospect of a general election in 2024 will ensure continued indecision from government, inevitably delaying economic recovery and particularly its negative effect on the construction sector. The Money Market’s reading of the recent Autumn announcement will be for interest rates to remain at the current level for the medium term, again, delaying any recovery to the construction market.
As a privately owned business Brett Martin takes long term investment decisions helping to position the business for the inevitable upturn in construction. Historically significant long-term investments in renewables, including an on-site 100 meter, 2.3MWp Wind turbine and a 6.42MWp Solar Farm will ensure the company maintains its competitiveness into the 2030’s and beyond. Looking ahead for growth, we have recently embarked on a major increase in productive capacity. This will ensure we are ready to meet the demands from our customer base when the underlaying demand for UK housing is reignited by a softening of the current economic trends.
While the current weakening market brings pressure to merchants and manufacturers alike, Brett Martin continues to invest in the resources to enhance service to our growing merchant base, enabling them to deliver a superior package to the construction trade.
Given the multiple forecasts for a flat market in 2024 we must plan appropriately and look forward to some light at the end of the tunnel toward the end of 2024.